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quinta-feira, 11 de setembro de 2008

Modernizing Canada’s Halifax Class Frigates

  • Modernizing Canada’s Halifax Class Frigates






    Launched between 1988-1995, and commissioned between 1992-1996, Canada’s 12 City Class (now Halifax Class) frigates currently form the high end of its naval capabilities. The Canadian Navy has declined drastically from its post-WWII status as the world’s 4th largest navy, and the Halifax Class itself is finding that its open-ocean design is not suited to cope with modern littoral threats and improving anti-ship missiles. Replacement vessels are still many years away, which means that the 4,750t frigates will need to be modernized within the limits of their design if they are to remain effective.

    Canada’s government has decided to fund that modernization, much as Australia and New Zealand are modernizing the Halifax Class’ ANZAC Frigate contemporaries. Refits are scheduled to begin with HMCS Halifax in 2010, and that ship is scheduled to re-enter service about 18 months later in 2012. By 2017, all 12 frigates are scheduled to be upgraded as part of a C$ 3.1 billion (about $2.9 billion) program.

    This DID article explains the scope of the upgrades, notes the current systems, and covers the contracts and developments involved…

    Upgrading The Halifax Class

    SHIP_FFH-330_HMCS_Halifax.jpg
    FFH 330: HMCS Halifax
    (click to view full)

    Upgrades will be conducted through Canada’s FELEX (Frigate Life Extension) program. FELEX will manage all work elements in the modernization progra, to varying degrees, as the project’s overall Design Integration Authority. The FELEX program is responsible for the ship level design integration including any unique/specific engineering changes required. It is also responsible for effective risk mitigation via scope management, design integration engineering, integrated risk management across all elements of the HCM, schedule coordination, and implementation/installation management.

    Some projects will be conducted wholly within FELEX, while others will be stand-alone projects that receive independent funding. Still others will be rolled into the ships’ maintenance efforts. Integral FELEX Projects include:

    • Internal Communications System Upgrade. This is also being done to a number of American ships, who are replacing their copper wiring and installing fiber optics and gigabit ethernet to go with their network and SATCOM hardware upgrades. The ships’ current Communications Control and Monitoring System (CCMS) was supplied by SED Systems of Saskatoon, with a message processing system from Lockheed Martin Electronic Systems Canada.
    • Harpoon Missile System Upgrade. Halifax Class ships currently carry 8 BGM-84 Block IC anti-ship missiles each. Boeing’s Harpoon Block II adds GPS guidance, much better near-shore capability, and land attack options.
    • Electronic Warfare System upgrade – Electronic Support Measures. Currently the SLQ-501 Canews (Canadian Electronic Warfare System), and SLQ-505 radar jammer.

    Semi-independent (sovereignty-association?) projects include:

    • HMCCS – Halifax Modernized Command and Control System. The ships currently use the SHINPADS integrated processing and display system supplied by Lockheed Martin Canada, each using about 15 AN/UYK-501 workstations manufactured by General Dynamics Canada. They will be replaced with Saab’s 9LV system, a popular combat system used around the world in classes ranging from Sweden’s ultra-modern Visby corvettes to Australia’s forthcoming Canberra Class LHD amphibious landing ships.
    • Halifax Class Radar Upgrades. The current set includes 2 Thales Nederland SPG-503 (STIR 1.8) fire control radars, Raytheons SPS-49v5 long-range active air search radar operating at C and D bands, Saab Microwave Systems HC150 Sea Giraffe medium-range air and surface search radar operating at G and H bands.
    • IRIUS – Long-range infrared search and track system. Important for near-shore surveillance, and ships operating under low-emissions restrictions. IRST on ships is specially useful against small surface targets, low flying aircraft, and anti-ship missiles. Its TV images are especially useful for threat classification. DRS Canada and Thales Nederland won with their Sirius system; see April 21/06 entry.
    • ESSM – Evolved Sea Sparrow Missile. The frigates currently carry 16 RIM-7 Sea Sparrow missiles, which cannot cope with modern threats. Raytheon’s RIM-162 ESSM is an entirely new missile that has become the new NATO standard, with substantially better maneuverability and capability against low-flying targets.
    • IFF Mode S/5. Identification Friend-or-Foe technology is not foolproof, but if it fails, the results can be tragic. IFF Mode 5 offers new algorithms that improve performance, encryption, range, and civil compatibility. It also adds “lethal interrogation” as a must-respond last chance, and the ability to see individual aircraft even when they’re close together. The further addition of IFF Mode S assigns a discrete ‘squawk’ which is unique to each aircraft.

    Maintenance projects will include:

    • Replacement of the ships’ Integrated Machinery Control System.
    • Unspecified modifications to the Saab Bofors 57mm naval gun. The most modern 57mm guns offer substantially better capabilities against targets like helicopters, small boats and UAVs, and can even be used in a last-ditch defensive role against anti-ship missiles.
    • Replacement of the BAE Systems Shield mk2 missile decoy launchers, which fire chaff to 2km and infrared rockets to 169m in distraction, confusion and centroid seduction modes. In 1997, Canada ordered Nulka hovering decoy systems from BAE Australia, to equip its 4 aged Tribal/Iroquois Class destroyers. Nulka is also used by Australian and US Navy ships.
    • Replacement of the current Kelvin Hughes Type 1007 I-band navigation radar.
    • A pair of important projects aren’t conducted by Canada’s Navy, but the Navy will have to make sure they can work with the Halifax Class ships. The new CH-148/H-92 Maritime Helicopter will replace the existing CH-124 Sea King Fleet, and a new Military Satellite Communication System will offer greatly improved bandwidth and performance.

    Respected defense journalist David Pugliese of the Ottawa Citizen notes that:

    “Most of the industry folks that I have talked to acknowledge that this [18 months per ship, complete by 2017] is a tight and aggressive schedule considering the amount of work that needs to be done.”

    Contracts and Key Events

    SHIP_FFG_HMCS_St_Johns_and_Sea_King.jpg
    HMCS St Johns
    and CH-124 Sea King
    (click to view full)

    Sept 5/08: Lockheed Martin Canada, as the last contractor team standing, wins C$2 billion for the Halifax Class’ Combat Systems Integration (CSI) Design contract and Build and In-Service Support contract.

    The C$ 1.4 billion CSI contract will upgrade the ships’ command and control systems, including the addition of Saab’s 9LV combat system. Team Lockheed will also redesign the operations room, and reconfigure the ship’s mast to accommodate a new radar suite. The actual refit work will take place at Halifax Shipyards and at Victoria Shipyards Company, per the April 21/08 entry.

    The In-Service Support contract is valued at approximately C$ 600 million, and will ensure long-term support of the installed systems. Government of Canada release.

    June 11/08: Defense reporter David Pugliese of the Ottawa Citizen reports that the General Dynamics team has withdrawn:

    “The buzz in the defence industry that started over the problems on the Halifax-class frigate modernization program has risen to a collective groan about how the defence procurement system has gone off the rails.

    Fingers seem to be pointed in a number of directions; inexperienced DND procurement staff, lack of proper guidance from Public Works and unreasonable expectations for the amount of money on the table, are among the reasons folks are putting forth about the growing problems with military equipment projects… Well, General Dynamics and its partners (General Dynamics was one of two consortiums that were deemed capable of working on this project) decided not to bid on the $1.1 billion program as it was just too risky and “not commercially viable.”

    A consortium led by Lockheed Martin Canada, following the rules set out by the government, dutifully put in their bid last Friday.”

    June 9/08: Deadline for HCM-CSI bid submission. Reports indicate that the team composed of of Lockheed Martin Maritime Systems & Sensors, Saab Systems, xwave, IBM Canada, L-3 Electronics and CAE Professional Services was the sole bidder.

    April 21/08: The Government of Canada awards 2 contracts for the on-going maintenance and refit work to be performed on its 12 Halifax Class frigates. Each contract is valid for a period of 12 years. If the refit options are exercised, the shipyards will need to complete the refit work of each vessel within a 12-month operational window allotted to that vessel.

    Halifax Shipyards in Nova Scotia receives a C$ 549 million contract to maintain and refit 7 frigates on Canada’s east coast. At its peak, it is expected to maintain and create up to 600 local jobs.

    Victoria Shipyards Company Ltd. in British Columbia receives a C$ 351 million contract to maintain and refit 5 frigates on the west coast. It is expected to create up to 110 local jobs and to help maintain an additional 450 jobs. Government of Canada release.

    April 17/08: Lockheed Martin Canada’s Halifax Class Modernization (HCM) Team uses the CANSEC 2008 show to demonstrate its integrated combat management system, including the proposed “CanACCS-9LV” combat system, advanced consoles, ship integration modeling, and a modernized operations room. Some of the attendees include some of the sailors who will eventually operate the modernized Halifax Class ships.

    While there’s always a long leap between a demonstration and a working system, the intended positioning as a low-risk solution could not be clearer. Lockheed Martin release.

    April 7/08: General Dynamics Canada announces that CMC Electronics Inc., of Montreal, Quebec, has joined their CSI HALIFAX bid team. CMC’s specialty is human factors engineering, and their experience includes includes providing a complete analysis of the operations room and communication requirements of the Halifax Class operations team. CMC has also developed components for the Royal Navy’s Astute-class submarine and is currently investigating crewing effectiveness, joint fires support and collaborative tactical picture compilation for multi-nation task groups.

    March 17/08: With MDA’s team eliminated in the initial down-select, the Vancouver firm joins the General Dynamics team. General Dynamics Canada announces the move; their team now consists of GD/GD-AIS, MDA, Raytheon, and Thales Canada/Nederland.

    MDA makes Canada’s Naval Combat Operator Trainer, which required a certain amount of familiarity with the combat system. Their experience will be used to maintain training-system currency with the new system, and contribute to In-Service Support during the legacy period.

    Feb 11/08: General Dynamics Canada announces that Raytheon Integrated Defense Systems has joined its CSI Halifax Team. Raytheon builds the frigates’ SPS-49 radar, RIM-7 Sea Sparrow air defense missile and its RIM-162 ESSM successor, their Mk 46 torpedoes, and their Phalanx close-in weapons system for last-ditch missile defense and firepower against UAVs and small boats.

    Jan 4/08: David Pugliese of the Ottawa Citizen offers a full round-up of the 3 teams competing for the HCM program. The 3rd team is led by Canadian Firm MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates, in partnership with EADS subsidiary Atlas Elektronik of Germany, who is offering the same ANCS command and control systems recently provided to the German and Finnish navies.

    MDA’s team would be eliminated in the first down-select, leaving Lockheed Martin and General Dynamics to battle for the contract.

    Jan 3/08: Lockheed Martin hosts the Canadian Navy’s Combat System Integration Lab at their facility in Montreal. Unsurprisingly, they’re leveraging that to assist their bid. The firm announces that Saab’s 9LV Combat Management System is now operational in that lab, a move that may reduce the system’s perceived technical risk.

    HMCS St Johns
    HMCS St Johns
    (click to view full)

    Dec 18/07: Lockheed Martin announces that L-3 Electronics Systems Canada has joined its Combat Systems Integrator bif team, alongside Saab Systems, IBM Canada, xwave and CAE Professional Services. L-3 is involved in the CP-140 Aurora Avionics Optimized Weapons Systems Management contract, and led the Tribal Class Update and Modernization Project (TRUMP) for Canada’s aged destroyers.

    Sept 5/07: General Dynamics Canada announces its team for the [at the time] $1.1 billion Halifax Class Modernization (HCM) – Combat Systems Integration (CSI) program.

    General Dynamics Canada is heading the team. They currently act as the integrated mission systems contractor for Canada’s new CH-148/H-92 maritime helicopters, and the AIMP program to improve the CP-140 Aurora maritime patrol aircraft fleet. GD Avanced Information Systems brings their experience with the USA’s Littoral Combat Ships. Thales Nederland and Thales Canada bring their TACTICOS command and control system ship-sets, which serve with 13 different navy customers on 12 different ship types. They also bring a position as the established radar provider for the Halifax Class, and their recent SIRIUS IRST system win.

    April 11/07: Lockheed Martin announces its intention to pursue the Halifax class’ mid-life modernization program, and unveils its team at the annual CANSEC trade show in Ottawa.

    Lockheed Martin Canada is the current systems integrator for the Halifax Class, and is an original equipment manufacturer for its current combat system. They also hosts the Canadian Navy’s combat systems integration lab at their facility in Montreal, and maintain the frigates’ Operations Room Team Trainer (ORTT) simulator.

    Saab brings its popular 9LV ship’s combat system, delivered to 15 navies worldwide. IBM Canada, xwave and CAE Professional Services bring made-in-Canada software applications and in-service support expertise that will address integrated logistics support, human factors engineering, et. al.

    October 2006: The government of Canada issues a C$ 150 million Platform System Design Agent Contract, worth $150 million, to Fleetway, Inc. of the Irving Group.

    The Irving Group is a very diversified conglomerate whose size makes it a major economic and political player in Eastern Canada. This did not suffice to earn Canada’s recent submarine refit contract, however.

    ELEC_SIRIUS_IRST.jpg
    SIRIUS LR-IRST
    (click to view full)

    April 21/06: The Canadian navy placed an order for 13 Sirius long-range Infrared Search and Track (IRST) systems with DRS Technologies Canada, now part of the Italian Finmeccanica group following a 2008 acquisition announcement. Thales Nederland is the major subcontractor. The larger order is placed in conjunction with the Netherlands, who will be installing them on their ultra-modern F124 De Zeven Provincien anti-air frigates. In Canada, 12 systems are slated for the Halifax Class frigate upgrade program, and one will be used for land-based training. The systems will be delivered between 2008 – 2011.

    For full coverage of the contract’s details, the Sirius system’s capabilities, and why those capabilities matter to modern ships, read “Canada & Holland Order 17 SIRIUS Shipboard Long-Range IRST Sensors (updated).”

    Additional Readings

terça-feira, 9 de setembro de 2008

CANADA Government Announces $2 Billion in Contracts for Modernization of Navy Frigates

Government Announces $2 Billion in Contracts for Modernization of Navy Frigates

(Source: Government of Canada; issued September 5, 2008)


Canada has confirmed the award of two contracts, worth a total of C$2 billion, for the modernization of its 12 Halifax-class frigates. (Canadian DND)
GATINEAU --- The Minister of Public Works and Government Services Canada, the Honourable Christian Paradis, and the Minister of National Defence and Minister of the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency, the Honourable Peter Gordon MacKay, today announced that the Government of Canada intends to award two long-term contracts totalling approximately $2 billion to Lockheed Martin Canada for the Combat Systems Integration (CSI) Design and Build and In-Service Support elements of the modernization of Canada’s 12 Halifax Class Navy frigates.

“The award of these two contracts follows an open, fair and transparent procurement process, and demonstrates how this Government is taking action to ensure that the Canadian Forces have the equipment needed to operate effectively in today’s environment,” said Minister Paradis.

“The Government of Canada is committed to following through on its promise to modernize the Canadian Forces and these contracts to upgrade the Halifax Class frigates will ensure the Navy maintains its operational capability,” said Minister MacKay. “It will also ensure Canadian sailors have the best available equipment to continue ensuring the safety of our water and ongoing cooperation with our allies.”

The CSI contract, valued at approximately $1.4 billion, is for upgrading the command and control systems, redesigning the operations room and reconfiguring the ships’ mast to accommodate a new radar suite for Canada’s 12 frigates. The In-Service Support contract is valued at approximately $600 million and will ensure long-term support of the Combat Systems.

The Halifax Class frigates were built in early 1990 and now require upgrades and systems modernization, particularly in the areas of marine engineering, command, control and combat systems. In support of this project, the Government awarded contracts to Halifax Shipyards and Victoria Shipyards in the spring of 2008 for the multi-ship refits.

Today’s announcement is part of an overall $3.1 billion program to modernize the Halifax Class Frigates which involves the following five key contracts:

-- Two contracts totalling approximately $2 billion to be awarded to Lockheed Martin (as per today’s announcement): The Combat Systems Integration contract, and the Command & Control System In-Service Support contract.

-- Two Multi-ship Refit contracts totalling $900 million, awarded to Halifax Shipyards and Victoria Shipyards in March 2008.

-- The Platform System Design Agent contract valued at $150 million, awarded to Fleetway Inc. in October 2006.

The contractor will be required to provide industrial benefits equal to 100 per cent of the total value of the contract.

“Through the industrial benefits policy, we are ensuring that every contract dollar awarded is invested back into the Canadian economy,” said Minister Paradis.

-ends-

Almirante Júlio Saboya , aponta os desafios da vigilância das fronteiras marítimas

Almirante Júlio Saboya | Chefe do Estado-Maior da Marinha
aponta os desafios da vigilância das fronteiras marítimas

Ao mesmo tempo em que o governo federal alardeia a descoberta de número crescente de campos petrolíferos em alto-mar, a Marinha cobra mais recursos para a ampliação de sua frota da navios de guerra. Segundo o almirante-de-esquadra Júlio Saboya, chefe do Estado-Maior da Marinha, o número atual de embarcações e outros veículos como aviões e helicópteros está muito aquém daquilo que ele aponta como a quantidade mínima necessária para uma vigilância efetiva do mar territorial brasileiro e da zona econômica exclusiva.

Durante visita a Salvador, o segundo oficial na escala de comando da Marinha concedeu entrevista exclusiva ao repórter JOÃO MAURO UCHÔA.

Saboya revelou que a Marinha já iniciou estudos para a construção de uma estrutura de radares semelhante ao Sistema de Vigilância da Amazônia, o Sivam, que é controlado pela Força Aérea Brasileira. A idéia é instalar antenas nas plataformas da Petrobras em alto-mar.

Mesmo diante de um cenário de aperto financeiro – agravado por sucessivos contingenciamentos de recursos –, o almirante defende a continuidade do polêmico programa nuclear da Marinha, cujo objetivo principal é a construção de um submarino nuclear. Segundo Saboya, a construção de uma arma deste tipo pode garantir um assento permanente para o Brasil no Conselho de Segurança da Organização das Nações Unidas, mas também poderá ajudar a aumentar a oferta de energia elétrica.

ATARDE | Em 1963, a França enviou um navio de guerra para a costa da região Nordeste a fim de proteger seus pesqueiros que insistiam em invadir o litoral brasileiro atrás de lagosta. O então presidente João Goulart decidiu acionar a Marinha para expulsar os franceses. No entanto, o que se viu foi um festival de limitações. A espinha-dorsal da Marinha recebeu ordem para se deslocar do Rio de Janeiro para o litoral do Nordeste, mas muitos navios ficaram pelo meio do caminho ou nem sequer tiveram condições de zarpar. Este mês, a Marinha realiza um exercício de ataques simulados às plataformas da Petrobras em alto-mar. A esquadra está em condições de vigiar e defender a costa brasileira?

JÚLIO SABOYA | Não. O que existe atualmente é algo parecido com um núcleo de esquadra. Temos pessoal adestrado e muito bem preparado, mas não há meios suficientes para a área que está sob nossa responsabilidade, dentro da zona econômica exclusiva, que se estende, em alguns pontos, a 200 milhas da costa, mas, em outros pontos, vai até 350 milhas. Isso representa área equivalente a cerca de metade do território brasileiro em terra. É óbvio que não é com a esquadra que temos atualmente e nem com os navios-patrulha que poderemos garantir a proteção de uma área tão grande. Ainda há concentração de campos petrolíferos no litoral do Espírito Santo e do Rio de Janeiro, mas já existem muitos campos nas regiões Norte e Nordeste. Tudo isso implica a disponibilidade de meios. Com o que temos hoje, não há como garantir a quantidade ideal de patrulha naval e de segurança. Por isso, temos que aplicar o princípio da dissuasão, ou seja, precisamos de meios navais que mostrem a potenciais agressores que qualquer incursão no território brasileiro pode custar muito caro (ao agressor). Isto é fundamental, pois não temos condições de ter, a médio prazo, meios suficientes para cobrir todo o mar na nossa jurisdição.

AT| Que tipo de acréscimo à frota atual é necessário para que a Marinha tenha condições de fazer uma vigilância efetiva no litoral brasileiro?

JS | Precisamos de várias coisas. A primeira, é um sistema semelhante ao Sivam (o Sistema de Vigilância da Amazônia, operado pela Força Aérea Brasileira), que funcione no mar. Já está sendo iniciada uma série de entendimentos para se utilizar as plataformas da Petrobras, que são estruturas que poderão abrigar um sistema de radar com acompanhamento por satélite Desta forma, teremos cobertura global da zona econômica exclusiva. Também precisamos de escutas submarinas. Um submarino em condições perfeitas de navegação ainda é uma arma invisível. Tudo isso faz parte de um pacote.

Mas precisamos de outras coisas. Não basta termos apenas mais navios e plataformas flutuantes. O ideal é uma Marinha com dois núcleos de esquadra, sendo um no Rio de Janeiro e outro no Nordeste. Mas os Distritos Navais também precisam de navios em número compatível. Mas esta questão não é tão simples de resolver.

Não se trata de duplicar ou triplicar a frota atual. A solução é mais complexa. Depende do tamanho dos navios. Queremos mais navios do porte do Gravataí (último navio de um lote de seis embarcações de patrulha entregues ao Brasil por um estaleiro alemão na década de 1990), mas também precisamos de embarcações de maior tonelagem, com capacidade para permanecer mais tempo no mar. Precisamos de 50 navios de patrulha espalhados pela costa brasileira, mas só temos 16. Isso é necessário para termos um mínimo de cobertura.

AT | A Marinha vem sofrendo dificuldades para manter a capacidade operacional do porta-aviões São Paulo. No início deste ano, nenhum dos 23 caças a jato A-4 Skyhawk adquiridos do Kuwait em 1998, por R$ 70 milhões, tinha condições de vôo. Recentemente, a Marinha passou a cobrar uma fatia maior dos royalties obtidos com a exploração do petróleo. Isso seria suficiente para garantir a modernização da frota?

JS | O porta-aviões São Paulo já é um senhor de idade que passou por uma série de modernizações. O navio está na fase final de recuperação. Nosso objetivo é torná-lo operacional até o final do ano que vem. Entretanto, cada vez que abrimos uma nova frente de trabalho no navio, descobrimos algo que não pode deixar de ser reparado.

O navio vai voltar a operar em condição muito superior à que ele estava quando foi comprado. Em 2003, chegamos a ter seis A-4 embarcados no São Paulo, mas a parada do porta-aviões diminuiu a capacidade da Marinha de manter os pilotos voando. Além disso, os próprios aviões também começaram a sentir o peso da idade e tiveram problemas nas turbinas. Fizemos contratos de manutenção, mas todas as turbinas que voltavam foram reprovadas. Isto fez com que a disponibilidade de aeronaves fosse diminuindo. Mas há cerca de 15 dias, já começamos a botar os A-4 para voar. É claro que nunca mais serão os 23. Muita coisa foi reaproveitada, pois temos dificuldades de encontrar peças de reposição. Teremos de ter pelo menos seis ou sete A-4 prontos para voar. É um programa que virá junto com o retorno operacional do São Paulo. A questão dos royalties do petróleo é lei. A Marinha tem direito a um percentual. O que acontece hoje é que ela recebe uma parte como fonte de recursos dentro do orçamento anual. O restante fica com o governo, que faz contingenciamento para gerar o superávit. O que recebemos é insuficiente para fazer o reaparelhamento e acaba se misturando com despesas de custeio.

Temos cerca de R$ 4 bilhões que deveriam ter vindo para a Marinha nos anos anteriores, mas acabaram sendo retidos pelo governo. Isso é quase o que precisamos para fazer o reaparelhamento A decisão é do governo. O papel da Marinha é apontar aquilo que ela precisa.

AT | Desde a década de 1970, a Marinha vem desenvolvendo um submarino nuclear. As estimativas mais otimistas dizem que serão necessários mais seis anos para a conclusão da obra, que já consumiu cerca de R$ 2,32 bilhões. Por que o Brasil precisa de uma embarcação deste tipo?

JS | Um submarino nuclear é um elemento de dissuasão fundamental. A existência dele é suficiente para deixar todo mundo de guarda fechada. Sozinho, ele faz a dissuasão que talvez dez submarinos convencionais não façam. Por outro lado, não podemos abrir mão do submarino convencional, que é ideal para águas não muito profundas. Entretanto, as zonas de maior profundidade e cada vez mais afastadas da costa – e onde estão sendo descobertos poços de petróleo – são territórios para um submarino nuclear. É ele que tem velocidade, mobilidade e capacidade para permanecer invisível.

Quem tem um submarino nuclear senta no Conselho de Segurança das Nações Unidas. Todos os países que estão lá têm esta tecnologia, coisa que ninguém cede. Nós tivemos que desenvolver a nossa. Ninguém ensina a enriquecer urânio. Cada país tem a sua tecnologia.

Nós já dominamos o enriquecimento do urânio, mas precisamos de um gerador de energia elétrica. A planta nuclear do submarino nada mais é do que um gerador que move motores de propulsão.

Precisamos de recursos e mais seis anos – isto é uma estimativa – para concluir esta planta. Já temos reatores de potência zero. A planta que já funciona em Aramar (Centro Experimental da Marinha, localizado no município paulista de Iperó), tem capacidade para abastecer uma pequena cidade e é mais do que o suficiente para um navio nuclear. Mas ela também pode fornecer energia elétrica a uma cidade com 20 mil ou 100 mil habitantes, conforme a potência do reator.

O programa da Marinha permitiu ao Brasil dominar todo o sistema de geração de energia elétrica a partir da energia nuclear. É uma vitória imensa.

AT | O Brasil ainda sofre pressão externa contra o programa nuclear?

JS | A pressão foi mais forte no início, quando era mais fácil interrompê-lo. Um país que tem a matéria-prima necessária e consegue desenvolver tecnologia nuclear adquire condições de colocar material no mercado internacional a preços mais baratos. É por isso que quem segue este caminho pode sofrer restrições e barreiras. Do ponto de vista bélico, ninguém tem dúvidas de que o Brasil não vai produzir bomba atômica.

AT | Em sua última visita à Rússia, o presidente venezuelano Hugo Chávez tentou acertar a comprar de submarinos de propulsão convencional, porém mais modernos do que os do Brasil. O apetite voraz de Chávez por armamento preocupa a Marinha?

JS | A imagem da Venezuela como oponente do Brasil é algo que não passa pela nossa cabeça. Não temos atritos de fronteira com eles e não temos nada a ver com seus problemas internos. Não interessa se ele (Chávez) vai ficar mais ou menos forte militarmente do que o Brasil, pois isto é um processo cíclico. Hoje, ele pode ser mais poderoso; amanhã, não. A Marinha olha o crescimento do potencial bélico da Venezuela com certa inveja.

AT | Se proteção dos campos petrolíferos é a prioridade para a Marinha, a vigilância da Amazônia passou para segundo plano?

JS | Não. São duas coisas diferentes – a Amazônia Azul e a Amazônia Verde. Ambas têm a mesma importância. A Amazônia Verde é atribuição prioritária do Exército. Na Amazônia Azul, a responsabilidade é prioritariamente da Marinha.

Temos apoio do Exército, se for necessário, e, principalmente, da Força Aérea. Mas as duas Amazônias precisam ser defendidas.

AT | O Exército é contrário à demarcação de reservas indígenas de grandes proporções em área de fronteira, como a da Raposa/ Serra do Sol, em Roraima. A Marinha também vê áreas deste tipo como ameaça à soberania nacional?

JS | Este é um assunto que não diz muito respeito à Marinha. Os rios navegáveis continuam deste jeito dentro ou fora do território indígena. Não faz sentido botar barreira em rio.

AT | Os Fuzileiros Navais participam da Missão de Paz no Haiti. Que tipo de ensinamento esta experiência trouxe?

JS | Uma ação deste tipo traz componentes psicológicos e de treinamento que envolvem aspectos que não existem nos exercícios. A presença brasileira no Haiti é extremamente benéfica. Prova disso é que a ONU sempre pede para que as tropas permaneçam. É evidente que problemas pontuais podem ocorrer. Alguns dizem: será que não estamos pagando um preço muito alto? Acho que não. Se não fizermos isso, não vamos nos mostrar à comunidade internacional. É um caminho necessário para quem almeja sentar no Conselho de Segurança da ONU.

AT| No mês passado, o advogado haitiano David Josue esteve em Salvador para pedir a saída das tropas brasileiras do Haiti. Ele prometeu entregar um abaixo-assinado ao presidente Lula cobrando uma solução para a questão. Segundo ele, militares brasileiros da Força de Paz teriam praticados “atrocidades” no Haiti. O senhor tem conhecimento desses fatos?

JS | Sei que ele mostrou fotografias e filmes feitos há dois ou três anos. As imagens podem ter sido feitas quando a coisa estava mais complicada, com a atuação de gangues em Cité Soleil (a maior favela do Haiti). Mas eu não tenho conhecimento de ocorrências que colocassem em dúvida a respeitabilidade da tropa brasileira. Seríamos os primeiros a tomar providência.

Podem ter acontecido fatos pontuais, mas eu garanto que as providências foram tomadas Cheguei a ver alguns vídeos na TV, mas eram imagens datadas de 2006. Por que não houve denúncia?

A situação política no Haiti ainda não está estável. É por isso que a tropa de paz ainda está lá. As supostas denúncias parecem jogo político.

AT | Há quem diga que as tropas brasileiras estão aproveitando o Haiti para treinar operações no Rio de Janeiro. Alguns comandantes do Exército defendem abertamente o emprego das Forças Armadas no combate ao crime. Qual é a sua opinião sobre esta questão?

JS | Minha função é cumprir a lei. A Constituição não permite isso Pessoalmente, não gostaria de me meter em assuntos policiais. O militar de carreira está armado para enfrentar o inimigo do País, mas não para brigar com nossos irmãos, mesmo que eles sejam apontados como marginais. Não podemos esquecer que muitos dos nossos homens são vizinhos deles.

Isto é algo muito diferente de ter que brigar com um inimigo externo que não mora ao meu lado e não sabe o meu nome.

AT| Embora o presidente Lula tenha mandado encerrar a discussão sobre a revisão da Lei de Anistia, o debate continua. A resistência das Forças Armadas brasileiras em revisar sua história não acaba comunicando a imagem de que os equívocos e excessos do passado poderão se repetir?

JS | Sempre que houve solicitação, a Marinha entregou documentos que estavam em seu poder. Mas há um mal-entendido nisto. Acham que temos coisas que não temos. Eventualmente, surgem alguns dados de gente que trabalhou nisso (na repressão), gente que guardou documentos que não estão mais com as Forças Armadas.

Esta celeuma não leva a lugar nenhum. Só serve para cutucar feridas que estão cicatrizando. Em qualquer crise interna que resulta em confronto armado, os dois lados fazem besteira. A anistia veio
para acabar com isso. Não entendo isso como uma negação em revisar o passado. É melhor olhar para o futuro do que ficar remoendo fatos passados que machucam a todos.

DEFESA@NET Série de matérias do jornal O Povo Ceará:

segunda-feira, 8 de setembro de 2008

Israeli Strategy After the Russo-Georgian War

Israeli Strategy After the Russo-Georgian War

September 8, 2008


Graphic for Geopolitical Intelligence Report

By George Friedman

The Russo-Georgian war continues to resonate, and it is time to expand our view of it. The primary players in Georgia, apart from the Georgians, were the Russians and Americans. On the margins were the Europeans, providing advice and admonitions but carrying little weight. Another player, carrying out a murkier role, was Israel. Israeli advisers were present in Georgia alongside American advisers, and Israeli businessmen were doing business there. The Israelis had a degree of influence but were minor players compared to the Americans.

More interesting, perhaps, was the decision, publicly announced by the Israelis, to end weapons sales to Georgia the week before the Georgians attacked South Ossetia. Clearly the Israelis knew what was coming and wanted no part of it. Afterward, unlike the Americans, the Israelis did everything they could to placate the Russians, including having Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert travel to Moscow to offer reassurances. Whatever the Israelis were doing in Georgia, they did not want a confrontation with the Russians.

It is impossible to explain the Israeli reasoning for being in Georgia outside the context of a careful review of Israeli strategy in general. From that, we can begin to understand why the Israelis are involved in affairs far outside their immediate area of responsibility, and why they responded the way they did in Georgia.

We need to divide Israeli strategic interests into four separate but interacting pieces:

  1. The Palestinians living inside Israel’s post-1967 borders.
  2. The so-called “confrontation states” that border Israel, including Lebanon, Syria, Jordan and especially Egypt.
  3. The Muslim world beyond this region.
  4. The great powers able to influence and project power into these first three regions.

The Palestinian Issue

The most important thing to understand about the first interest, the Palestinian issue, is that the Palestinians do not represent a strategic threat to the Israelis. Their ability to inflict casualties is an irritant to the Israelis (if a tragedy to the victims and their families), but they cannot threaten the existence of the Israeli state. The Palestinians can impose a level of irritation that can affect Israeli morale, inducing the Israelis to make concessions based on the realistic assessment that the Palestinians by themselves cannot in any conceivable time frame threaten Israel’s core interests, regardless of political arrangements. At the same time, the argument goes, given that the Palestinians cannot threaten Israeli interests, what is the value of making concessions that will not change the threat of terrorist attacks? Given the structure of Israeli politics, this matter is both substrategic and gridlocked.

The matter is compounded by the fact that the Palestinians are deeply divided among themselves. For Israel, this is a benefit, as it creates a de facto civil war among Palestinians and reduces the threat from them. But it also reduces pressure and opportunities to negotiate. There is no one on the Palestinian side who speaks authoritatively for all Palestinians. Any agreement reached with the Palestinians would, from the Israeli point of view, have to include guarantees on the cessation of terrorism. No one has ever been in a position to guarantee that — and certainly Fatah does not today speak for Hamas. Therefore, a settlement on a Palestinian state remains gridlocked because it does not deliver any meaningful advantages to the Israelis.

The Confrontation States

The second area involves the confrontation states. Israel has formal peace treaties with Egypt and Jordan. It has had informal understandings with Damascus on things like Lebanon, but Israel has no permanent understanding with Syria. The Lebanese are too deeply divided to allow state-to-state understandings, but Israel has had understandings with different Lebanese factions at different times (and particularly close relations with some of the Christian factions).

Jordan is effectively an ally of Israel. It has been hostile to the Palestinians at least since 1970, when the Palestine Liberation Organization attempted to overthrow the Hashemite regime, and the Jordanians regard the Israelis and Americans as guarantors of their national security. Israel’s relationship with Egypt is publicly cooler but quite cooperative. The only group that poses any serious challenge to the Egyptian state is The Muslim Brotherhood, and hence Cairo views Hamas — a derivative of that organization — as a potential threat. The Egyptians and Israelis have maintained peaceful relations for more than 30 years, regardless of the state of Israeli-Palestinian relations. The Syrians by themselves cannot go to war with Israel and survive. Their primary interest lies in Lebanon, and when they work against Israel, they work with surrogates like Hezbollah. But their own view on an independent Palestinian state is murky, since they claim all of Palestine as part of a greater Syria — a view not particularly relevant at the moment. Therefore, Israel’s only threat on its border comes from Syria via surrogates in Lebanon and the possibility of Syria’s acquiring weaponry that would threaten Israel, such as chemical or nuclear weapons.

The Wider Muslim World

As to the third area, Israel’s position in the Muslim world beyond the confrontation states is much more secure than either it or its enemies would like to admit. Israel has close, formal strategic relations with Turkey as well as with Morocco. Turkey and Egypt are the giants of the region, and being aligned with them provides Israel with the foundations of regional security. But Israel also has excellent relations with countries where formal relations do not exist, particularly in the Arabian Peninsula.

The conservative monarchies of the region deeply distrust the Palestinians, particularly Fatah. As part of the Nasserite Pan-Arab socialist movement, Fatah on several occasions directly threatened these monarchies. Several times in the 1970s and 1980s, Israeli intelligence provided these monarchies with information that prevented assassinations or uprisings.

Saudi Arabia, for one, has never engaged in anti-Israeli activities beyond rhetoric. In the aftermath of the 2006 Israeli-Hezbollah conflict, Saudi Arabia and Israel forged close behind-the-scenes relations, especially because of an assertive Iran — a common foe of both the Saudis and the Israelis. Saudi Arabia has close relations with Hamas, but these have as much to do with maintaining a defensive position — keeping Hamas and its Saudi backers off Riyadh’s back — as they do with government policy. The Saudis are cautious regarding Hamas, and the other monarchies are even more so.

More to the point, Israel does extensive business with these regimes, particularly in the defense area. Israeli companies, working formally through American or European subsidiaries, carry out extensive business throughout the Arabian Peninsula. The nature of these subsidiaries is well-known on all sides, though no one is eager to trumpet this. The governments of both Israel and the Arabian Peninsula would have internal political problems if they publicized it, but a visit to Dubai, the business capital of the region, would find many Israelis doing extensive business under third-party passports. Add to this that the states of the Arabian Peninsula are afraid of Iran, and the relationship becomes even more important to all sides.

There is an interesting idea that if Israel were to withdraw from the occupied territories and create an independent Palestinian state, then perceptions of Israel in the Islamic world would shift. This is a commonplace view in Europe. The fact is that we can divide the Muslim world into three groups.

First, there are those countries that already have formal ties to Israel. Second are those that have close working relations with Israel and where formal ties would complicate rather than deepen relations. Pakistan and Indonesia, among others, fit into this class. Third are those that are absolutely hostile to Israel, such as Iran. It is very difficult to identify a state that has no informal or formal relations with Israel but would adopt these relations if there were a Palestinian state. Those states that are hostile to Israel would remain hostile after a withdrawal from the Palestinian territories, since their issue is with the existence of Israel, not its borders.

The point of all this is that Israeli security is much better than it might appear if one listened only to the rhetoric. The Palestinians are divided and at war with each other. Under the best of circumstances, they cannot threaten Israel’s survival. The only bordering countries with which the Israelis have no formal agreements are Syria and Lebanon, and neither can threaten Israel’s security. Israel has close ties to Turkey, the most powerful Muslim country in the region. It also has much closer commercial and intelligence ties with the Arabian Peninsula than is generally acknowledged, although the degree of cooperation is well-known in the region. From a security standpoint, Israel is doing well.

The Broader World

Israel is also doing extremely well in the broader world, the fourth and final area. Israel always has needed a foreign source of weapons and technology, since its national security needs outstrip its domestic industrial capacity. Its first patron was the Soviet Union, which hoped to gain a foothold in the Middle East. This was quickly followed by France, which saw Israel as an ally in Algeria and against Egypt. Finally, after 1967, the United States came to support Israel. Washington saw Israel as a threat to Syria, which could threaten Turkey from the rear at a time when the Soviets were threatening Turkey from the north. Turkey was the doorway to the Mediterranean, and Syria was a threat to Turkey. Egypt was also aligned with the Soviets from 1956 onward, long before the United States had developed a close working relationship with Israel.

That relationship has declined in importance for the Israelis. Over the years the amount of U.S. aid — roughly $2.5 billion annually — has remained relatively constant. It was never adjusted upward for inflation, and so shrunk as a percentage of Israeli gross domestic product from roughly 20 percent in 1974 to under 2 percent today. Israel’s dependence on the United States has plummeted. The dependence that once existed has become a marginal convenience. Israel holds onto the aid less for economic reasons than to maintain the concept in the United States of Israeli dependence and U.S. responsibility for Israeli security. In other words, it is more psychological and political from Israel’s point of view than an economic or security requirement.

Israel therefore has no threats or serious dependencies, save two. The first is the acquisition of nuclear weapons by a power that cannot be deterred — in other words, a nation prepared to commit suicide to destroy Israel. Given Iranian rhetoric, Iran would appear at times to be such a nation. But given that the Iranians are far from having a deliverable weapon, and that in the Middle East no one’s rhetoric should be taken all that seriously, the Iranian threat is not one the Israelis are compelled to deal with right now.

The second threat would come from the emergence of a major power prepared to intervene overtly or covertly in the region for its own interests, and in the course of doing so, redefine the regional threat to Israel. The major candidate for this role is Russia.

During the Cold War, the Soviets pursued a strategy to undermine American interests in the region. In the course of this, the Soviets activated states and groups that could directly threaten Israel. There is no significant conventional military threat to Israel on its borders unless Egypt is willing and well-armed. Since the mid-1970s, Egypt has been neither. Even if Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak were to die and be replaced by a regime hostile to Israel, Cairo could do nothing unless it had a patron capable of training and arming its military. The same is true of Syria and Iran to a great extent. Without access to outside military technology, Iran is a nation merely of frightening press conferences. With access, the entire regional equation shifts.

After the fall of the Soviet Union, no one was prepared to intervene in the Middle East the way the Soviets had. The Chinese have absolutely no interest in struggling with the United States in the Middle East, which accounts for a similar percentage of Chinese and U.S. oil consumption. It is far cheaper to buy oil in the Middle East than to engage in a geopolitical struggle with China’s major trade partner, the United States. Even if there was interest, no European powers can play this role given their individual military weakness, and Europe as a whole is a geopolitical myth. The only country that can threaten the balance of power in the Israeli geopolitical firmament is Russia.

Israel fears that if Russia gets involved in a struggle with the United States, Moscow will aid Middle Eastern regimes that are hostile to the United States as one of its levers, beginning with Syria and Iran. Far more frightening to the Israelis is the idea of the Russians once again playing a covert role in Egypt, toppling the tired Mubarak regime, installing one friendlier to their own interests, and arming it. Israel’s fundamental fear is not Iran. It is a rearmed, motivated and hostile Egypt backed by a great power.

The Russians are not after Israel, which is a sideshow for them. But in the course of finding ways to threaten American interests in the Middle East — seeking to force the Americans out of their desired sphere of influence in the former Soviet region — the Russians could undermine what at the moment is a quite secure position in the Middle East for the United States.

This brings us back to what the Israelis were doing in Georgia. They were not trying to acquire airbases from which to bomb Iran. That would take thousands of Israeli personnel in Georgia for maintenance, munitions management, air traffic control and so on. And it would take Ankara allowing the use of Turkish airspace, which isn’t very likely. Plus, if that were the plan, then stopping the Georgians from attacking South Ossetia would have been a logical move.

The Israelis were in Georgia in an attempt, in parallel with the United States, to prevent Russia’s re-emergence as a great power. The nuts and bolts of that effort involves shoring up states in the former Soviet region that are hostile to Russia, as well as supporting individuals in Russia who oppose Prime Minister Vladimir Putin’s direction. The Israeli presence in Georgia, like the American one, was designed to block the re-emergence of Russia.

As soon as the Israelis got wind of a coming clash in South Ossetia, they — unlike the United States — switched policies dramatically. Where the United States increased its hostility toward Russia, the Israelis ended weapons sales to Georgia before the war. After the war, the Israelis initiated diplomacy designed to calm Russian fears. Indeed, at the moment the Israelis have a greater interest in keeping the Russians from seeing Israel as an enemy than they have in keeping the Americans happy. U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney may be uttering vague threats to the Russians. But Olmert was reassuring Moscow it has nothing to fear from Israel, and therefore should not sell weapons to Syria, Iran, Hezbollah or anyone else hostile to Israel.

Interestingly, the Americans have started pumping out information that the Russians are selling weapons to Hezbollah and Syria. The Israelis have avoided that issue carefully. They can live with some weapons in Hezbollah’s hands a lot more easily than they can live with a coup in Egypt followed by the introduction of Russian military advisers. One is a nuisance; the other is an existential threat. Russia may not be in a position to act yet, but the Israelis aren’t waiting for the situation to get out of hand.

Israel is in control of the Palestinian situation and relations with the countries along its borders. Its position in the wider Muslim world is much better than it might appear. Its only enemy there is Iran, and that threat is much less clear than the Israelis say publicly. But the threat of Russia intervening in the Muslim world — particularly in Syria and Egypt — is terrifying to the Israelis. It is a risk they won’t live with if they don’t have to. So the Israelis switched their policy in Georgia with lightning speed. This could create frictions with the United States, but the Israeli-American relationship isn’t what it used to be.

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quinta-feira, 4 de setembro de 2008

"Cisne Branco" participa de regata de veleiros na Europa

Navio-Veleiro "Cisne Branco" participa de regata de veleiros na Europa

O Navio-Veleiro "Cisne Branco" participou da última etapa da "Tall Ships’ Races 2008", regata que reuniu veleiros de várias classes e nacionalidades realizada, no mês de agosto, entre Bergen (Noruega) e Den Helder (Holanda).

Na regata, o "Cisne Branco" obteve a quarta colocação entre 23 Tall Ships` Classe A, e a sétima entre todos os veleiros inscritos, em um total de 66. No dia 22, o veleiro brasileiro recebeu o Embaixador do Brasil na Holanda, Exmo. Sr. José Artur Denot Medeiros.

Outro fato de destaque foi a atracação do Navio-Veleiro holandês "Stad Amsterdam" em Den Helder, na Holanda, a contra-bordo do NVe "Cisne Branco", no dia 22 de agosto. O "Stad Amsterdam" é o navio irmão do "Cisne Branco", construído com projeto semelhante, ambos no estaleiro holandês Damen, entre 1999 e 2000. A "Tall Ships’ Races 2008" teve no seu final uma parada naval e uma festa de encerramento.

quarta-feira, 3 de setembro de 2008

7 DE SETEMBRO - A MARINHA NA CONSOLIDAÇÃO DE NOSSA INDEPENDÊNCIA

Dia da Independência - 7 de setembro

Em 7 de setembro de 1822, o príncipe regente D. Pedro e sua comitiva, após visitar a vila de Santos, retornavam para São Paulo, quando ao chegar próximo ao Riacho Ipiranga encontraram com emissários, vindos do Rio de Janeiro, que traziam importantes novidades de Lisboa, além de cartas de José Bonifácio e da Princesa D. Leopoldina.

Por meio dessas correspondências, D. Pedro teve conhecimento do novo posicionamento político de Portugal em relação ao Brasil, impondo uma série de exigências, dentre elas: a total submissão do príncipe às Cortes, continuando como regente até a publicação da constituição, com autoridade apenas nas províncias em que já a exercia; a nomeação pelo rei de novo ministério; a anulação da convocação do Conselho de Procuradores-Gerais das Províncias; e a decisão de instaurar processo contra a Junta Governativa de São Paulo por ter pedido ao príncipe que ficasse no Brasil. Estas novas exigências de Portugal foram consideradas inaceitáveis por D. Pedro que tomou a decisão de tornar o Brasil independente de Portugal, sendo coroado Imperador do Brasil em 1 ° de dezembro de 1822.

Para eliminar os focos de resistência interna à autoridade do novo imperador, que eram mais fortes nas províncias da Bahia, Maranhão, Grão-Pará e Cisplatina, e rechaçar qualquer tentativa de recolonização por parte da antiga metrópole, foi necessário o aprestamento de forças terrestres e principalmente o preparo de uma força naval capaz de obter o domínio do mar, interceptar a vinda de reforços portugueses, bloquear as posições inimigas e manter livres as comunicações marítimas do novo Império, garantindo a unidade nacional. Segundo informações enviadas pelo agente brasileiro em Londres, Felisberto Caldeira Brant Pontes (futuro Marquês de Barbacena), uma poderosa expedição estava sendo preparada para ser enviada ao Brasil, ainda em 1822. O tempo urgia e as dificuldades eram muitas.

A tarefa de preparar com brevidade e adequadamente a Armada brasileira para a guerra foi designada ao novo Ministro da Marinha, Capitão-de-Mar-e-Guerra Luís da Cunha Moreira, primeiro brasileiro nato a ocupar esse cargo, patriota convicto e experimentado homem do mar, tendo forjado sua experiência durante as guerras napoleônicas, desempenhado papel importante na captura de Caiena, em 1808, e se distinguido durante a Revolução Pernambucana de 1817. A primeira dificuldade de Cunha Moreira esbarrava no levantamento de recursos financeiros, pois as finanças do novo Império estavam exauridas. No entanto, dispunha de uma grande vantagem para execução de sua tarefa: as instalações navais do Rio de Janeiro permaneciam intactas, o próprio Ministério da Marinha, a Intendência, a Contadoria e Auditoria, o Conselho Supremo Militar, o Hospital de Marinha, o Arsenal e o Estaleiro.

Em fins de 1822, dispunha-se de material flutuante muito escasso, com navios tomados dos portugueses e que passaram a constituir o primeiro núcleo da Esquadra brasileira, composto por: Fragatas União e Real Carolina ; Corvetas Maria da Glória e Liberal ; Brigue Real Pedro , Brigue-Escuna Real , 13 escunas – das quais sete encontravam-se estacionadas no Prata – e de aproximadamente 20 navios-transportes e canhoneiras. Dos outros navios estacionados no Rio de Janeiro, somente três eram utilizáveis, a Nau Martins de Freitas , a Fragata Sucesso e o Brigue Reino Unido , todos sendo modernizados ou reparados. A Nau Príncipe Real , que trouxe D. João VI ao Brasil, só pôde ser utilizada como navio-prisão, devido ao péssimo estado que se encontrava.

Em janeiro de 1823, foi lançada subscrição nacional por meio da venda de ações pagáveis mensalmente ao longo de três anos, visando a angariar recursos que ajudassem a acelerar o aparelhamento da nascente Esquadra brasileira. O Imperador e a Imperatriz tomaram a liderança com a compra de 350 ações, sendo seguidos por patriotas de toda nação. O plano alcançou grande êxito tendo atingido em junho de 1823 uma soma de 33 mil réis.

Em abril de 1823, a Esquadra estava constituída por uma nau; quatro fragatas; duas corvetas; três brigues-escunas; 12 escunas; 20 navios-transportes e canhoneiras.

Em relação ao pessoal, "a princípio, parecia não haver falta de oficiais para a nova Marinha: 160 tinham se estabelecido no Brasil desde 1808, mas a maioria era de portugueses, e tornou-se necessário verificar primeiro sua lealdade. Com esta finalidade, Cunha Moreira estabeleceu uma comissão, em 5 de dezembro de 1822, para perguntar a cada oficial se ele desejava servir ao Brasil ou voltar para Portugal. Ficou logo claro que a grande maioria aderia à causa brasileira, e quando foram retirados os nomes dos mais velhos e dos incapazes, restou um total de 94. Era evidente que o Brasil tinha oficiais superiores em número suficiente, mas a quantidade de oficiais inferiores dava apenas para guarnecer os navios já em comissão nos estabelecimentos de guerra". Havia também indícios de que a marujada não era confiável, pois muitos eram portugueses. Outro problema era com a falta de experiência no mar de muitos homens que foram recrutados como marinheiros.

Na Inglaterra, Caldeira Brant negociou a compra de navios, munições, fez levantamento de empréstimos e coordenou o recrutamento de oficiais e marinheiros estrangeiros para servirem à Marinha Imperial Brasileira. Para isso, contou também com a ajuda de James Thompson, ex-oficial da Royal Navy, que foi admitido na Marinha brasileira e nela fez carreira. Caldeira Brant recomendou ao governo a contratação do Almirante inglês Lord Alexander Thomas Cochrane, oficial de grande experiência e que fez brilhante carreira como comandante de fragatas, e que participou da luta de independência do Chile.

O Governo brasileiro resolveu então convidar o Almirante Cochrane para abraçar a causa nacional. Enquanto Cochrane apreciava o convite recebido, o Governo Imperial recrutou outros oficiais estrangeiros para seu serviço, dentre eles: David Jewett – que foi oficial na Marinha dos Estados Unidos – e Jonh Taylor, oficial da Marinha inglesa.

Após algumas rodadas de negociações, Cochrane finalmente aceitou a proposta brasileira sendo nomeado Primeiro-Almirante – posto criado em caráter excepcional – e trouxe consigo mais quatro oficiais britânicos, dentre eles John Pascoe Grenfell.

Em 21 de março de 1823, o Almirante Cochrane içou seu pavilhão na Nau Pedro I (ex- Martins Freitas ) e partiu para Salvador levando ordens do Ministro Cunha Moreira para que estabelecesse um rigoroso bloqueio, destruindo e tomando as forças portuguesas que encontrassem, fazendo o maior dano possível ao inimigo.

Desde 1821, a Bahia estava tomada por uma junta governativa fiel aos interesses das cortes portuguesas, sustentada por uma tropa ferrenhamente colonialista sob o comando do General Madeira de Mello. Em fins de 1822, já havia a determinação do Imperador para que as demais províncias ajudassem os patriotas baianos que resistiam à presença militar portuguesa na Bahia. Vários combates foram travados, dentre eles a Batalha do Pirajá, em novembro de 1822, com vitória para os nacionais fazendo os portugueses recolherem-se à defensiva.

Como o Exército Imperial cercou Salvador por terra, tornou a cidade dependente dos suprimentos trazidos por mar ou através das vias aquáticas costeiras entre a ilha de Itaparica e o continente. Em outubro de 1822, Madeira de Mello havia atacado a ilha numa tentativa de assegurar essa rota vital, mas foi batido por uma flotilha naval comandada pelo Segundo-Tenente João de Oliveira Bottas. Em janeiro de 1823, com o apoio da Esquadra portuguesa na Bahia lançou outro grande ataque à Ilha de Itaparica, mas após dois dias de intensos combates foram batidos.

Em abril, chegou à Bahia a Esquadra brasileira comandada pelo Almirante Cochrane, pronta para dar combate à Força Naval portuguesa comandada pelo Almirante Félix Pereira de Campos. O encontro das duas esquadras ocorreu em 4 de maio de 1823 – o resultado desse primeiro combate ficou indefinido.

Enquanto a Esquadra brasileira bloqueava a entrada da Baía de Todos os Santos, apreendendo os navios que tentavam furar o bloqueio, as forças de terra comandadas pelo Coronel Lima e Silva tornavam ainda mais difícil a situação em que se encontrava o General Madeira de Mello, que impossibilitado de receber apoio logístico decidiu deixar a Bahia em 2 de julho de 1823 e retornar a Portugal. No mar, a Esquadra brasileira deu perseguição ao inimigo até ter a certeza que rumava para Europa. A Fragata Niterói , comandada por John Taylor, foi destacada para continuar a perseguição à esquadra lusa, acompanhando-a até o Tejo, fazendo algumas presas.

Cochrane partiu então a bordo da Nau Pedro I para o Maranhão, onde uma junta governativa ainda tentava resistir ao processo de independência. Chegou na barra do porto de São Luís em 26 de julho de 1823 e ardilosamente anunciou a aproximação de outras poderosas forças navais e terrestres. Sem ter como reagir a tal ameaça, o Maranhão decidiu aderir ao movimento de independência.

O Almirante Cochrane decidiu enviar ao Grão-Pará o Capitão-Tenente Grenfell no comando do Brigue Maranhão, que chegou em Belém em 10 de agosto de 1823. Com o mesmo ardil usado por Cochrane para dobrar a Junta Governativa do Maranhão conseguiu, apesar de ter encontrado alguma resistência, que se proclamasse a adesão do Pará.

Na Província Cisplatina continuava a resistência de D. Álvaro da Costa – chefe militar português que se opunha à independência e que em Montevidéu organizou uma flotilha com alguns transportes que arrecadara. Em 21 de outubro de 1823, Álvaro da Costa tentou com quatro navios romper o bloqueio imposto pela Força Naval Brasileira formada por sete navios, comandada pelo Capitão-de-Mar-e-Guerra Pedro Nunes. Violento combate foi travado, conseguindo os navios brasileiros impedirem a tentativa portuguesa de furar o bloqueio. Esse combate ficou conhecido como “O Combate de Montevidéu”. Em 18 de novembro de 1823, devido ao cerco terrestre e ao bloqueio naval, os portugueses renderam-se, desaparecendo desta feita o último foco de resistência em território brasileiro.

O instrumento decisivo para alcançar a independência foi certamente a feliz decisão do Governo Imperial, sob as influências de Felisberto Caldeira Brant Pontes e José Bonifácio (Patriarca da Independência), de aprestar uma força naval capaz de garantir o domínio do mar negando-o aos portugueses; possibilitar o deslocamento de tropas de maneira mais rápida; cortar as linhas de recebimento de suprimento do inimigo pelo mar e bloquear qualquer reação da Força Naval portuguesa.

FONTES BIBLIOGRÁFICAS:

ALBUQUERQUE, Luiz Porto e. História do Brasil . Rio de Janeiro: SDGM, 1985.

BRASIL, Serviço de Documentação da Marinha. História Naval Brasileira . Rio de Janeiro, 2002. Terceiro Volume, Tomo I.

CAMINHA, João Carlos Gonçalves. Formação da Marinha Imperial. Revista Navigator , Rio de Janeiro: SDGM, n.10, dez.1974, p.5-28.

VALE, Brian. Estratégia, poder marítimo e a criação da Marinha do Brasil 1822-23. Revista Navigator , Rio de Janeiro: SDGM, n. 4, dez.1971, p. 5-21.

terça-feira, 2 de setembro de 2008

The Medvedev Doctrine and American Strategy

The Medvedev Doctrine and American Strategy


Graphic for Geopolitical Intelligence Report

By George Friedman

The United States has been fighting a war in the Islamic world since 2001. Its main theaters of operation are in Afghanistan and Iraq, but its politico-military focus spreads throughout the Islamic world, from Mindanao to Morocco. The situation on Aug. 7, 2008, was as follows:

  1. The war in Iraq was moving toward an acceptable but not optimal solution. The government in Baghdad was not pro-American, but neither was it an Iranian puppet, and that was the best that could be hoped for. The United States anticipated pulling out troops, but not in a disorderly fashion.
  2. The war in Afghanistan was deteriorating for the United States and NATO forces. The Taliban was increasingly effective, and large areas of the country were falling to its control. Force in Afghanistan was insufficient, and any troops withdrawn from Iraq would have to be deployed to Afghanistan to stabilize the situation. Political conditions in neighboring Pakistan were deteriorating, and that deterioration inevitably affected Afghanistan.
  3. The United States had been locked in a confrontation with Iran over its nuclear program, demanding that Tehran halt enrichment of uranium or face U.S. action. The United States had assembled a group of six countries (the permanent members of the U.N. Security Council plus Germany) that agreed with the U.S. goal, was engaged in negotiations with Iran, and had agreed at some point to impose sanctions on Iran if Tehran failed to comply. The United States was also leaking stories about impending air attacks on Iran by Israel or the United States if Tehran didn’t abandon its enrichment program. The United States had the implicit agreement of the group of six not to sell arms to Tehran, creating a real sense of isolation in Iran.

In short, the United States remained heavily committed to a region stretching from Iraq to Pakistan, with main force committed to Iraq and Afghanistan, and the possibility of commitments to Pakistan (and above all to Iran) on the table. U.S. ground forces were stretched to the limit, and U.S. airpower, naval and land-based forces had to stand by for the possibility of an air campaign in Iran — regardless of whether the U.S. planned an attack, since the credibility of a bluff depended on the availability of force.

The situation in this region actually was improving, but the United States had to remain committed there. It was therefore no accident that the Russians invaded Georgia on Aug. 8 following a Georgian attack on South Ossetia. Forgetting the details of who did what to whom, the United States had created a massive window of opportunity for the Russians: For the foreseeable future, the United States had no significant forces to spare to deploy elsewhere in the world, nor the ability to sustain them in extended combat. Moreover, the United States was relying on Russian cooperation both against Iran and potentially in Afghanistan, where Moscow’s influence with some factions remains substantial. The United States needed the Russians and couldn’t block the Russians. Therefore, the Russians inevitably chose this moment to strike.

On Sunday, Russian President Dmitri Medvedev in effect ran up the Jolly Roger. Whatever the United States thought it was dealing with in Russia, Medvedev made the Russian position very clear. He stated Russian foreign policy in five succinct points, which we can think of as the Medvedev Doctrine (and which we see fit to quote here):

  • First, Russia recognizes the primacy of the fundamental principles of international law, which define the relations between civilized peoples. We will build our relations with other countries within the framework of these principles and this concept of international law.
  • Second, the world should be multipolar. A single-pole world is unacceptable. Domination is something we cannot allow. We cannot accept a world order in which one country makes all the decisions, even as serious and influential a country as the United States of America. Such a world is unstable and threatened by conflict.
  • Third, Russia does not want confrontation with any other country. Russia has no intention of isolating itself. We will develop friendly relations with Europe, the United States, and other countries, as much as is possible.
  • Fourth, protecting the lives and dignity of our citizens, wherever they may be, is an unquestionable priority for our country. Our foreign policy decisions will be based on this need. We will also protect the interests of our business community abroad. It should be clear to all that we will respond to any aggressive acts committed against us.
  • Finally, fifth, as is the case of other countries, there are regions in which Russia has privileged interests. These regions are home to countries with which we share special historical relations and are bound together as friends and good neighbors. We will pay particular attention to our work in these regions and build friendly ties with these countries, our close neighbors.

Medvedev concluded, “These are the principles I will follow in carrying out our foreign policy. As for the future, it depends not only on us but also on our friends and partners in the international community. They have a choice.”

The second point in this doctrine states that Russia does not accept the primacy of the United States in the international system. According to the third point, while Russia wants good relations with the United States and Europe, this depends on their behavior toward Russia and not just on Russia’s behavior. The fourth point states that Russia will protect the interests of Russians wherever they are — even if they live in the Baltic states or in Georgia, for example. This provides a doctrinal basis for intervention in such countries if Russia finds it necessary.

The fifth point is the critical one: “As is the case of other countries, there are regions in which Russia has privileged interests.” In other words, the Russians have special interests in the former Soviet Union and in friendly relations with these states. Intrusions by others into these regions that undermine pro-Russian regimes will be regarded as a threat to Russia’s “special interests.”

Thus, the Georgian conflict was not an isolated event — rather, Medvedev is saying that Russia is engaged in a general redefinition of the regional and global system. Locally, it would not be correct to say that Russia is trying to resurrect the Soviet Union or the Russian empire. It would be correct to say that Russia is creating a new structure of relations in the geography of its predecessors, with a new institutional structure with Moscow at its center. Globally, the Russians want to use this new regional power — and substantial Russian nuclear assets — to be part of a global system in which the United States loses its primacy.

These are ambitious goals, to say the least. But the Russians believe that the United States is off balance in the Islamic world and that there is an opportunity here, if they move quickly, to create a new reality before the United States is ready to respond. Europe has neither the military weight nor the will to actively resist Russia. Moreover, the Europeans are heavily dependent on Russian natural gas supplies over the coming years, and Russia can survive without selling it to them far better than the Europeans can survive without buying it. The Europeans are not a substantial factor in the equation, nor are they likely to become substantial.

This leaves the United States in an extremely difficult strategic position. The United States opposed the Soviet Union after 1945 not only for ideological reasons but also for geopolitical ones. If the Soviet Union had broken out of its encirclement and dominated all of Europe, the total economic power at its disposal, coupled with its population, would have allowed the Soviets to construct a navy that could challenge U.S. maritime hegemony and put the continental United States in jeopardy. It was U.S. policy during World Wars I and II and the Cold War to act militarily to prevent any power from dominating the Eurasian landmass. For the United States, this was the most important task throughout the 20th century.

The U.S.-jihadist war was waged in a strategic framework that assumed that the question of hegemony over Eurasia was closed. Germany’s defeat in World War II and the Soviet Union’s defeat in the Cold War meant that there was no claimant to Eurasia, and the United States was free to focus on what appeared to be the current priority — the defeat of radical Islamism. It appeared that the main threat to this strategy was the patience of the American public, not an attempt to resurrect a major Eurasian power.

The United States now faces a massive strategic dilemma, and it has limited military options against the Russians. It could choose a naval option, in which it would block the four Russian maritime outlets, the Sea of Japan and the Black, Baltic and Barents seas. The United States has ample military force with which to do this and could potentially do so without allied cooperation, which it would lack. It is extremely unlikely that the NATO council would unanimously support a blockade of Russia, which would be an act of war.

But while a blockade like this would certainly hurt the Russians, Russia is ultimately a land power. It is also capable of shipping and importing through third parties, meaning it could potentially acquire and ship key goods through European or Turkish ports (or Iranian ports, for that matter). The blockade option is thus more attractive on first glance than on deeper analysis.

More important, any overt U.S. action against Russia would result in counteractions. During the Cold War, the Soviets attacked American global interest not by sending Soviet troops, but by supporting regimes and factions with weapons and economic aid. Vietnam was the classic example: The Russians tied down 500,000 U.S. troops without placing major Russian forces at risk. Throughout the world, the Soviets implemented programs of subversion and aid to friendly regimes, forcing the United States either to accept pro-Soviet regimes, as with Cuba, or fight them at disproportionate cost.

In the present situation, the Russian response would strike at the heart of American strategy in the Islamic world. In the long run, the Russians have little interest in strengthening the Islamic world — but for the moment, they have substantial interest in maintaining American imbalance and sapping U.S. forces. The Russians have a long history of supporting Middle Eastern regimes with weapons shipments, and it is no accident that the first world leader they met with after invading Georgia was Syrian President Bashar al Assad. This was a clear signal that if the U.S. responded aggressively to Russia’s actions in Georgia, Moscow would ship a range of weapons to Syria — and far worse, to Iran. Indeed, Russia could conceivably send weapons to factions in Iraq that do not support the current regime, as well as to groups like Hezbollah. Moscow also could encourage the Iranians to withdraw their support for the Iraqi government and plunge Iraq back into conflict. Finally, Russia could ship weapons to the Taliban and work to further destabilize Pakistan.

At the moment, the United States faces the strategic problem that the Russians have options while the United States does not. Not only does the U.S. commitment of ground forces in the Islamic world leave the United States without strategic reserve, but the political arrangements under which these troops operate make them highly vulnerable to Russian manipulation — with few satisfactory U.S. counters.

The U.S. government is trying to think through how it can maintain its commitment in the Islamic world and resist the Russian reassertion of hegemony in the former Soviet Union. If the United States could very rapidly win its wars in the region, this would be possible. But the Russians are in a position to prolong these wars, and even without such agitation, the American ability to close off the conflicts is severely limited. The United States could massively increase the size of its army and make deployments into the Baltics, Ukraine and Central Asia to thwart Russian plans, but it would take years to build up these forces and the active cooperation of Europe to deploy them. Logistically, European support would be essential — but the Europeans in general, and the Germans in particular, have no appetite for this war. Expanding the U.S. Army is necessary, but it does not affect the current strategic reality.

This logistical issue might be manageable, but the real heart of this problem is not merely the deployment of U.S. forces in the Islamic world — it is the Russians’ ability to use weapons sales and covert means to deteriorate conditions dramatically. With active Russian hostility added to the current reality, the strategic situation in the Islamic world could rapidly spin out of control.

The United States is therefore trapped by its commitment to the Islamic world. It does not have sufficient forces to block Russian hegemony in the former Soviet Union, and if it tries to block the Russians with naval or air forces, it faces a dangerous riposte from the Russians in the Islamic world. If it does nothing, it creates a strategic threat that potentially towers over the threat in the Islamic world.

The United States now has to make a fundamental strategic decision. If it remains committed to its current strategy, it cannot respond to the Russians. If it does not respond to the Russians for five or 10 years, the world will look very much like it did from 1945 to 1992. There will be another Cold War at the very least, with a peer power much poorer than the United States but prepared to devote huge amounts of money to national defense.

There are four broad U.S. options:

  1. Attempt to make a settlement with Iran that would guarantee the neutral stability of Iraq and permit the rapid withdrawal of U.S. forces there. Iran is the key here. The Iranians might also mistrust a re-emergent Russia, and while Tehran might be tempted to work with the Russians against the Americans, Iran might consider an arrangement with the United States — particularly if the United States refocuses its attentions elsewhere. On the upside, this would free the U.S. from Iraq. On the downside, the Iranians might not want —or honor — such a deal.
  2. Enter into negotiations with the Russians, granting them the sphere of influence they want in the former Soviet Union in return for guarantees not to project Russian power into Europe proper. The Russians will be busy consolidating their position for years, giving the U.S. time to re-energize NATO. On the upside, this would free the United States to continue its war in the Islamic world. On the downside, it would create a framework for the re-emergence of a powerful Russian empire that would be as difficult to contain as the Soviet Union.
  3. Refuse to engage the Russians and leave the problem to the Europeans. On the upside, this would allow the United States to continue war in the Islamic world and force the Europeans to act. On the downside, the Europeans are too divided, dependent on Russia and dispirited to resist the Russians. This strategy could speed up Russia’s re-emergence.
  4. Rapidly disengage from Iraq, leaving a residual force there and in Afghanistan. The upside is that this creates a reserve force to reinforce the Baltics and Ukraine that might restrain Russia in the former Soviet Union. The downside is that it would create chaos in the Islamic world, threatening regimes that have sided with the United States and potentially reviving effective intercontinental terrorism. The trade-off is between a hegemonic threat from Eurasia and instability and a terror threat from the Islamic world.

We are pointing to very stark strategic choices. Continuing the war in the Islamic world has a much higher cost now than it did when it began, and Russia potentially poses a far greater threat to the United States than the Islamic world does. What might have been a rational policy in 2001 or 2003 has now turned into a very dangerous enterprise, because a hostile major power now has the option of making the U.S. position in the Middle East enormously more difficult.

If a U.S. settlement with Iran is impossible, and a diplomatic solution with the Russians that would keep them from taking a hegemonic position in the former Soviet Union cannot be reached, then the United States must consider rapidly abandoning its wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and redeploying its forces to block Russian expansion. The threat posed by the Soviet Union during the Cold War was far graver than the threat posed now by the fragmented Islamic world. In the end, the nations there will cancel each other out, and militant organizations will be something the United States simply has to deal with. This is not an ideal solution by any means, but the clock appears to have run out on the American war in the Islamic world.

We do not expect the United States to take this option. It is difficult to abandon a conflict that has gone on this long when it is not yet crystal clear that the Russians will actually be a threat later. (It is far easier for an analyst to make such suggestions than it is for a president to act on them.) Instead, the United States will attempt to bridge the Russian situation with gestures and half measures.

Nevertheless, American national strategy is in crisis. The United States has insufficient power to cope with two threats and must choose between the two. Continuing the current strategy means choosing to deal with the Islamic threat rather than the Russian one, and that is reasonable only if the Islamic threat represents a greater danger to American interests than the Russian threat does. It is difficult to see how the chaos of the Islamic world will cohere to form a global threat. But it is not difficult to imagine a Russia guided by the Medvedev Doctrine rapidly becoming a global threat and a direct danger to American interests.

We expect no immediate change in American strategic deployments — and we expect this to be regretted later. However, given U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney’s trip to the Caucasus region, now would be the time to see some movement in U.S. foreign policy. If Cheney isn’t going to be talking to the Russians, he needs to be talking to the Iranians. Otherwise, he will be writing checks in the region that the U.S. is in no position to cash.

Liberal" participa da Operação PANAMAX-08


Fragata "Liberal" participa da Operação PANAMAX-08

A Fragata "Liberal" (F43) participou, entre os dias 10 a 21 de agosto, da Operação PANAMAX-08, exercício combinado realizado na área do Caribe e América Central entre Marinhas Amigas, que envolveu 21 países e 32 navios.

Embarcados na F43, um destacamento do Grupamento de Mergulhadores de Combate (GRUMEC) participou de diversos exercícios durante a operação, entre os quais a retomada simulada do Navio "Diamond River" que transportava, também simuladamente, carga ilícita, e havia aprisionado toda a sua tripulação.

No dia 13 de agosto o Embaixador do Brasil no Panamá, Eduardo Prisco Paraiso Ramos, foi recebido a bordo da "Liberal" pelo Comandante da 2ª Divisão da Esquadra, Contra-Almirante Carlos Alberto Guimarães de Almeida e Albuquerque, onde pôde conhecer as principais instalações do navio, em especial o novo Sistema de Controle Tático e Armas (SICONTA MK II), o Sistema de Controle e Monitoração da Propulsão e Auxiliares (SCMPA) e o Sistema de Controle de Avarias (SCAV), desenvolvidos pela Marinha do Brasil no Projeto de Modernização das Fragatas Classe Niterói (MODFRAG).